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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfjoseph00677ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL—$5.3M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #969PM monthly #3PM monthly #98PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)73% (111 of 153 open)63% (40 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
Weakest topicCrypto −10 pts, n=22—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 15% of 110)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 47% of 100)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 57% of 158)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 259)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfjoseph00677ndb1RN1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.1M—No $40K
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——No $7.4KNo $10