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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BABELCONSTELFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)82% (336–72, n=408)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL-$561K$3.5M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #449PM monthly #23PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)71% (168 of 235 open)74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +11 pts n=255, ROI +9%
  • NFL +15 pts n=81, ROI +12%
  • NHL +11 pts n=95, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −8 pts, n=15Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 3% of 29)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 69% of 42)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 79% of 103)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 98% of 552)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBABELCONSTELFlaznorpndb1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $142—Yes $991K