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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AzariahJuby | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (20–44, n=64) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (14232–15729, n=29961) |
| Consensus PnL | $52K | $7.9M | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #504 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (18 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 25% of 53 at avg 19¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 83% (won 14% of 44) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 75% of 8) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AzariahJuby | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $63K | No $64K | — | — |