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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AzariahJuby | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (20–44, n=64) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $7.6M | $3.7M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #499 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 69% (270 of 393 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 25% of 53 at avg 19¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 83% (won 14% of 44) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 75% of 8) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AzariahJuby | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | No $39K | — | — |