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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (268–306, n=574) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 49% (20671–21624, n=42295) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.9K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (9 of 15 open) | 74% (62 of 84 open) | 71% (12 of 17 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 250) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Ohio State (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Oregon | Ohio State $466 | — | Oregon $4.9K | — |