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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (268–306, n=574) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.9K | $3.7M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (9 of 15 open) | 69% (209 of 305 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (62 of 85 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 250) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $17K | — | Under $6.4K |