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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (432–418, n=850) | no settled market | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $93K | — | $7.9M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #624 | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 68% (59 of 87 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 832 at avg 49¢, ROI +3% | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 140) | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 38% of 335) | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 201) | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 87% of 156) | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.4K | — | No $74K | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1 | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $407K | No $335K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $6.9K | — | — | No $495K |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $84K |