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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlmostNoAwarenessferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)62% (116–72, n=188)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$13K-$8.8M$3.3M$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999was PM monthly #87PM monthly #8PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)60% (58 of 97 open)no open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicTech −6 pts, n=27——NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won67% of 159 at avg 65¢, ROI +8%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 21% of 29)4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 26% of 19)26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 75% of 16)40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 87% of 95)30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.