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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Alegrandebigndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)93% (1480–114, n=1594)63% (993–576, n=1569)50% (1116–1128, n=2244)
Consensus PnL-$8.2K$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #834PM monthly #92PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus93% (27 of 29 open)68% (52 of 77 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicFinance −2 pts, n=113NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won94% of 1370 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 12% of 33)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 46% of 41)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 50)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 99% of 1246)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigndb1primm
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $5No $42K—
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $781No $29K—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $495Yes $525—