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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Alegrandebig | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 93% (1485–114, n=1599) | 52% (6492–5998, n=12490) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (988–572, n=1560) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.2K | $3.3M | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #815 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #104 |
| Sides with the consensus | 97% (36 of 37 open) | 72% (184 of 254 open) | no open consensus position | 76% (100 of 132 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=762 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 1026 at avg 92¢, ROI 0% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 13% of 32) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 44% of 39) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 48) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 88% (won 99% of 907) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Alegrandebig | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5 | — | — | No $42K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $781 | — | — | No $29K |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $449 | — | — | Yes $539 |