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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlanCurtisFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)54% (208–178, n=386)52% (6475–6058, n=12533)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL$22K$3.7M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #882PM monthly #13PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (229 of 336 open)62% (16 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won70% of 383 at avg 46¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 31% of 143)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 81% of 80)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 98% of 62)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 100% of 98)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlanCurtisFlaznorpprimm
South Florida vs. East Carolina
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
—East Carolina $81South Florida $39