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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ATCapital | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 57% (28–21, n=49) | 50% (9–9, n=18) | 54% (242–209, n=451) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $758K | $435K | $234K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #983 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #40 | was PM monthly #167 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (71 of 130 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Soccer −17 pts, n=15 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 10 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 58% of 420 at avg 51¢, ROI −5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 27% of 67) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 25% (won 46% of 104) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 30% (won 100% of 3) | 45% (won 63% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 15% (won 97% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ATCapital | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $101K | — | 76ers $26K |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $33K | — | 76ers $357 |
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $97 | — | 76ers $3.0K |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $26K | — | Raptors $775 |
| Spread: 76ers (-6.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $680 | — | Raptors $300 |