PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ARTEM-DZYUBARN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)94% (4923–340, n=5263)48% (12359–13260, n=25619)56% (101–79, n=180)49% (870–902, n=1772)
Consensus PnL$20K$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)56% (47 of 84 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 1208 at avg 90¢, ROI +4%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 822 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 57% of 7)10% (won 56% of 2507)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 80% of 41)22% (won 94% of 5408)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 334)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 90% of 123)36% (won 99% of 8790)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 404)
Entries 70¢ and up86% (won 100% of 1037)31% (won 100% of 7551)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketARTEM-DZYUBARN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko
opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Dominko
Max Hans Rehberg $5Sebastian Dominko $7.3K——
Guayaquil: Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt
opposite sides · consensus Valerio Aboian
Valerio Aboian $10Nick Hardt $404——
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Unión La Calera: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $249Over $16——