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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| AML | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4–3, n=7) | 53% (513–456, n=969) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $592K | $475K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #55 | PM monthly #58 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 51% (20 of 39 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 12% (won 40% of 83) | 33% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 23% (won 65% of 158) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 44% (won 77% of 300) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 99% of 135) | 67% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AML | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Packers $2.4K | Vikings $7.1K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Patriots $6.0K | Lions $1.6K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | Jaguars $1.3K | Titans $4.9K |