Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AMLFlaznorpnigiri99yalibb
Record (consensus markets)57% (4–3, n=7)71% (2770–1157, n=3927)53% (513–456, n=969)no settled market
Consensus PnL$362K$526K$592K—
Tracked asPM monthly #151PM monthly #8PM monthly #54PM monthly #683
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (50 of 105 open)50% (21 of 42 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%—
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)12% (won 40% of 83)—
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)23% (won 65% of 158)—
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)44% (won 77% of 300)—
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)20% (won 99% of 135)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAMLFlaznorpnigiri99yalibb
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $1.6KOklahoma $507—
Panthers vs. Saints
same side · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $3.1KPanthers $223—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—