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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8m1BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (546–663, n=1209)50% (14740–14843, n=29583)47% (12984–14433, n=27417)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #145PM monthly #2PM monthly #60PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)70% (39 of 56 open)63% (104 of 166 open)57% (33 of 58 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)8% (won 60% of 899)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)21% (won 87% of 2444)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)39% (won 95% of 4418)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)32% (won 99% of 3709)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8m1BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $56KYes $53—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $7.6KYes $28—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $7.5KYes $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.6K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $76No $1.8K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $795Yes $149—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $74No $662
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $34Under $12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $378KYes $81K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $241KYes $122—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $175KYes $2.5K—
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22KYes $71K—
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $50KYes $160—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $21KYes $113—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $215—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $8.8KYes $881—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.8KYes $155—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva
same side · consensus Alina Charaeva
——Antonia Ruzic $41Antonia Ruzic $4.9K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.1KYes $76—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.1KYes $3—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $69—
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Sakura Hosogi
same side · consensus Han Shi
——Han Shi $183Han Shi $2.1K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0KYes $59—
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $25Under $58
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28Yes $41—