PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
467j6yjbeachboy4omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)98% (3209–82, n=3291)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (13583–13712, n=27295)48% (12101–12930, n=25031)
Consensus PnL$34K$5.8M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #981was PM monthly #24PM monthly #15PM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)45% (5 of 11 open)71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)8% (won 59% of 860)10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 56% of 62)21% (won 86% of 2252)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 52% of 114)39% (won 94% of 4102)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 99% of 3425)31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market467j6yjbeachboy4omnibus-076daaRN1
Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun
opposite sides · consensus Xinran Sun
——Maria Timofeeva $245Xinran Sun $22K
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nemiga
——FUT Esports $130Nemiga $3.8K
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
same side · consensus FUT Esports
——FUT Esports $646FUT Esports $7.3K
Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva
same side · consensus Elena Rybakina
——Yulia Putintseva $685Yulia Putintseva $505