PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
3879187398418900gringo00RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)44% (3518–4461, n=7979)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12302–13184, n=25486)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$21K$3.5M$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #960was PM monthly #19PM monthly #23 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus64% (59 of 92 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 56% of 2507)0%
Entries 30–50¢—0%22% (won 94% of 5408)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8790)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%31% (won 100% of 7551)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market3879187398418900gringo00RN1sainttroplay
Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
opposite sides · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
Emilio Camacho $595—Joao Lucas Da Silva $9.7K—
Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez
opposite sides · consensus Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina $4.0K—Leylah Fernandez $131—
Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks
same side · consensus Mia Pohankova
Mia Pohankova $3.1K—Mia Pohankova $47K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $961—No $7.7K—
W35 Kunshan: Sijia Wei vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho
same side · consensus Sijia Wei
Sijia Wei $146—Sijia Wei $510—