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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 1nvoker1 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (321–210, n=531) | 46% (555–663, n=1218) | 65% (882–468, n=1350) | 50% (19555–19619, n=39174) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $11.2M | $4.2M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #928 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #143 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (22 of 35 open) | 66% (21 of 32 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 64% (32 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −10 pts, n=18 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 543 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 6% of 236) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 37% of 54) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 73% of 62) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 94% of 191) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 1nvoker1 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | No $12K | — | — |