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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
121212121212121212121212e46m3Flaznorpgmpm2
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)71% (5–2, n=7)74% (426–151, n=577)50% (2–2, n=4)
Consensus PnL$599-$22$46K-$6.1K
Tracked asPM monthly #518PM monthly #2PM monthly #20PM monthly #23
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (8 of 11 open)67% (57 of 85 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Tech ±0 pts, n=36Soccer −8 pts, n=40NBA −2 pts, n=33
Settled positions, side won—93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 11% of 46)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 32% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 86% of 7)19% (won 29% of 17)29% (won 48% of 97)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 75% of 8)13% (won 55% of 11)45% (won 55% of 150)
Entries 70¢ and up—90% (won 100% of 565)34% (won 83% of 30)21% (won 80% of 71)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market121212121212121212121212e46m3Flaznorpgmpm2
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $21Over $484—