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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
121212121212121212121212Flaznorpjuice-fruitkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)100% (3–0, n=3)75% (743–249, n=992)100% (1–0, n=1)45% (198–245, n=443)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$70K$152K$10K
Tracked asPM monthly #509PM monthly #14PM monthly #32PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (88 of 131 open)no open consensus position78% (14 of 18 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)2% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)25% (won 100% of 12)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)44% (won 100% of 21)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)29% (won 100% of 14)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market121212121212121212121212Flaznorpjuice-fruitkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $641—Lakers $9.5K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $359—Lakers $3.4K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3K—Elina Svitolina $447
Victoria Women T20I: Namibia Women vs USA Women
opposite sides · consensus Namibia Women
—USA Women $42—Namibia Women $99
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Daniel Altmaier
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $6.5K—Buvaysar Gadamauri $34K
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Maxence Bertimon vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
—Eric Vanshelboim $49—Eric Vanshelboim $138