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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1SingW
Record (consensus markets)35% (3666–6666, n=10332)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)72% (1096–422, n=1518)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M-$80K
Tracked asPM monthly #126PM monthly #52PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #882
Sides with the consensus69% (20 of 29 open)no open consensus position58% (26 of 45 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +36 pts n=1219, ROI +16%
  • NBA +19 pts n=99, ROI +5%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 1330 at avg 41¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)25% (won 42% of 338)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)37% (won 84% of 489)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)35% (won 88% of 470)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)2% (won 91% of 33)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1SingW
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Mai Hontama
Magda Linette $5.1K—Mai Hontama $11K—
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K—Over $9—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
opposite sides · consensus Zsombor Piros
Dalibor Svrcina $2.9K—Zsombor Piros $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $373—Timberwolves $118—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Spurs $265—Kings $124—
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.5K—Over $18—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
Sumit Nagal $1.9K—Sumit Nagal $2.5K—
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $2.4K—Max Hans Rehberg $263—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—