Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1SingW
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)37% (1164–1972, n=3136)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M-$81K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #55PM monthly #32 + pinnedwas PM monthly #882
Sides with the consensus47% (7 of 15 open)no open consensus position63% (19 of 30 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +36 pts n=1232, ROI +16%
  • NBA +19 pts n=99, ROI +5%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 1343 at avg 41¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)25% (won 42% of 342)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)37% (won 84% of 496)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)35% (won 88% of 472)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)2% (won 91% of 33)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1SingW
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2K—Over $1.7K—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $777—Under $29—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Claire Liu $2.5K—Claire Liu $4.7K—
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $21—Under $2.4K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $159—Falcons $1.6K—
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $434—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—