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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)64% (1097–630, n=1727)51% (28105–27112, n=55217)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.8M$1.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #92PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus65% (11 of 17 open)72% (108 of 150 open)64% (44 of 69 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 187)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 269)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 57% of 328)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 622)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Under $7.6K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $434—Over $27
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2K—Under $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $151—No $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20—Yes $3.5K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $159—Falcons $27