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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026kinderSmanndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)35% (3637–6661, n=10298)99% (423–6, n=429)65% (902–484, n=1386)50% (20538–20353, n=40891)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$161K$4.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #732PM monthly #812PM monthly #102PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus85% (17 of 20 open)100% (9 of 9 open)71% (107 of 151 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Tech −2 pts, n=28NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 410 at avg 98¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—0%13% (won 15% of 168)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 100% of 4)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢—0%24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up—99% (won 100% of 406)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026kinderSmanndb1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $22K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $154——No $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21——Yes $3.8K