Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026beachboy4FlaznorpJoeyAroyyOO
Record (consensus markets)35% (3648–6671, n=10319)no settled market52% (6510–6010, n=12520)48% (87–94, n=181)
Consensus PnL$3.0M—$3.3M$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #431—PM monthly #24PM monthly #216
Sides with the consensus75% (15 of 20 open)no open consensus position71% (180 of 254 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +51 pts n=69, ROI +53%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won——56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 69 at avg 49¢, ROI +53%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 11% of 465)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢——16% (won 40% of 255)52% (won 100% of 36)
Entries 50–70¢——16% (won 62% of 260)45% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up——39% (won 94% of 637)1% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026beachboy4FlaznorpJoeyAroyyOO
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur Rinderknech $32K—Ben Shelton $8.1K—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $34K—Olympique de Marseille $1.2K—
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
opposite sides · consensus Laslo Djere
Otto Virtanen $10K—Laslo Djere $5.5K—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Kilian Feldbausch $514—Remy Bertola $752—
Luanda: Madhurima Sawant vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Madhurima Sawant $1—Noma Noha Akugue $20—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Under $14K—
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
Sumit Nagal $9.2K—Sumit Nagal $5.1K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $7.9K—Sorana Cirstea $6.2K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
Lorenzo Musetti $354—Lorenzo Musetti $444—
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $119—Matej Dodig $663—
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus GamerLegion
GamerLegion $253—GamerLegion $20—
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $89—Lumbini Lions $56—
Nepal Premier League: Kathmandu Gurkhas vs Biratnagar Kings
same side · consensus Kathmandu Gurkhas
Kathmandu Gurkhas $39—Kathmandu Gurkhas $12—