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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1Sagand
Record (consensus markets)35% (3637–6660, n=10297)45% (573–710, n=1283)47% (13877–15390, n=29267)85% (44–8, n=52)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$14.8M$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #629PM monthly #3PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #907
Sides with the consensus86% (12 of 14 open)68% (23 of 34 open)50% (14 of 28 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 53 at avg 68¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)13% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)8% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)21% (won 91% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)58% (won 90% of 31)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1Sagand
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
opposite sides · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $31K—Sho Shimabukuro $4.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $122K—Alexandra Shubladze $38K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
same side · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Mika Stojsavljevic $2.1K—Mika Stojsavljevic $168—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—