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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpgroth
Record (consensus markets)35% (3637–6660, n=10297)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6434–5955, n=12389)65% (261–139, n=400)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$3.3M$151K
Tracked asPM monthly #629PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #542
Sides with the consensus90% (9 of 10 open)71% (24 of 34 open)73% (136 of 186 open)62% (36 of 58 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%71% of 313 at avg 58¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)29% (won 18% of 90)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)7% (won 59% of 22)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)15% (won 87% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)49% (won 98% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpgroth
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154—Yes $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $14K—
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $40—Lumbini Lions $26—
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $32—Afghanistan Under-19s $3—