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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpNOO-Yes
Record (consensus markets)35% (3634–6648, n=10282)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)33% (2–4, n=6)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$3.3M$2.5K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #1PM monthly #22was PM monthly #417
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)54% (15 of 28 open)76% (130 of 170 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%75% of 4 at avg 61¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)25% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)50% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)25% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpNOO-Yes
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $7.2K—Under $970—
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $235—Clippers $1.4K—
Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat
opposite sides · consensus Adelaide Strikers
Brisbane Heat $31—Adelaide Strikers $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Under $14K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $418—Xinyu Wang $227—