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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpMoneyloverman
Record (consensus markets)35% (3634–6648, n=10282)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)62% (47–29, n=76)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$3.3M$249K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #808
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)54% (15 of 28 open)73% (127 of 173 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +4 pts n=203, ROI +2%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%55% of 203 at avg 51¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 21% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)30% (won 42% of 60)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)48% (won 64% of 97)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)11% (won 86% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpMoneyloverman
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $235—Clippers $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Under $14K—
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $963—Clippers $103—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $418—Xinyu Wang $231—
Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat
same side · consensus Adelaide Strikers
Adelaide Strikers $41—Adelaide Strikers $5—