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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Ariola76 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (3641–6652, n=10293) | no settled market | 52% (6467–6001, n=12468) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | — | $3.5M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #558 | PM monthly #421 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #104 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (24 of 37 open) | no open consensus position | 77% (195 of 253 open) | 72% (68 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | — | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | — | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | — | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | — | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | — | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Ariola76 | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud | Jan-Lennard Struff $12K | — | Casper Ruud $43K | — |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $30K | — | Olympique de Marseille $6.8K | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.3K | — | Over $447 | — |
| Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.9K | — | Under $25 | — |
| Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano | FK Kauno Žalgiris $67 | — | FC Lugano $2.2K | — |
| Spread: FC Twente (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC | FC Twente $219 | — | Páfos FC $419 | — |
| Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $14K | — | Bianca Andreescu $3.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.2K | — | Under $13K | — |
| AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | — | Under $14K | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $371 | — | Under $12K | — |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4.6K | — | Under $5.1K | — |
| Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian same side · consensus Federico Coria | Federico Coria $7.5K | — | Federico Coria $112 | — |
| Charlottesville: Maks Kasnikowski vs Michael Antonius same side · consensus Maks Kasnikowski | Maks Kasnikowski $2.1K | — | Maks Kasnikowski $62 | — |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $310 | — | Under $575 | — |
| Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B same side · consensus maybe | maybe $160 | — | maybe $82 | — |