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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
kdvlklkvlsklkfsBreakTheBankjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)48% (20–22, n=42)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL-$565K$7.7M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #256PM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position81% (29 of 36 open)no open consensus position85% (11 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicTennis −5 pts, n=40———
Settled positions, side won49% of 41 at avg 56¢, ROI −14%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 33% of 6)10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 45% of 11)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 42% of 12)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 67% of 12)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkdvlklkvlsklkfsBreakTheBankjoseph00677primm
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3K—Over $16K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $96—Buccaneers $407