Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xcfe8f6...373a6cBreakTheBankFlaznorpS-Works
Record (consensus markets)49% (20–21, n=41)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL-$562K$7.6M$4.1M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #280PM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position89% (31 of 35 open)65% (98 of 150 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicTennis −5 pts, n=40—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won49% of 41 at avg 56¢, ROI −14%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 33% of 6)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 45% of 11)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 42% of 12)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 67% of 12)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.