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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xce81e3c66a532c95b4d3e190aed398518eee9820Flaznorpjoseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)57% (8–6, n=14)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$39K$1.4M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #639PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (141 of 224 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 63¢, ROI +38%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 2)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 4)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 2)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.