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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pleaseletmealone | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 11% (2–16, n=18) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 47% (1413–1577, n=2990) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.9K | $8.4M | $4.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #443 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #40 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (98 of 122 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=26 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 1% of 73 at avg 3¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 99% (won 0% of 72) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 5% (won 95% of 59) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 40% (won 99% of 512) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 50% (won 100% of 633) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 5% (won 100% of 65) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.