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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pleaseletmealone | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 13% (2–13, n=15) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.4K | $7.7M | $3.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #438 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (91 of 117 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=26 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 1% of 73 at avg 3¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 99% (won 0% of 72) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.