← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pleaseletmealone | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 11% (2–16, n=18) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.5K | $8.4M | $3.2M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #441 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (88 of 105 open) | 88% (30 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 48% (20 of 42 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=26 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 1% of 73 at avg 3¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 99% (won 0% of 72) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.