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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 98% (3705–95, n=3800) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) |
| Consensus PnL | -$31K | $7.9M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 79% (26 of 33 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −6 pts, n=13 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 3462 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 0% of 7) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 36% of 14) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 56% of 32) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 98% (won 99% of 3409) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $837 | Ravens $4 |