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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 98% (4231–107, n=4338) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) |
| Consensus PnL | -$16K | $7.7M | $3.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #47 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 88% (30 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (10 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −6 pts, n=13 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 3661 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 0% of 7) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 36% of 14) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 56% of 32) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 99% (won 99% of 3608) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | Chargers $2.4K | — | Texans $2.7K |