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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 74% (423–151, n=574) | 68% (302–139, n=441) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $779K | $44K | -$51K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #805 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 70% (42 of 60 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 18% of 106 at avg 6¢, ROI +18% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 90% (won 8% of 95) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 100% of 11) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin same side · consensus Michael Geerts | — | — | Michael Geerts $5.6K | Michael Geerts $8.3K |