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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972Flaznorpgmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)74% (80–28, n=108)75% (739–246, n=985)50% (2–2, n=4)44% (193–242, n=435)
Consensus PnL$3.3K$69K-$6.1K$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #948PM monthly #14PM monthly #71PM monthly #45
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)68% (71 of 105 open)no open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won100% of 68 at avg 84¢, ROI +20%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%56% of 9 at avg 54¢, ROI −10%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 3)34% (won 10% of 30)0%5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢0%19% (won 29% of 17)33% (won 67% of 3)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 100% of 5)13% (won 55% of 11)56% (won 40% of 5)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up88% (won 100% of 60)34% (won 83% of 30)11% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972Flaznorpgmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $958—Casper Ruud $5.2K
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Tiago Pereira
—Kilian Feldbausch $548—Tiago Pereira $3.3K
Monastir: Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives Marcos
opposite sides · consensus Pedro Vives Marcos
—Pedro Vives Marcos $3.3K—Jay Clarke $154
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3K—Elina Svitolina $447
W35 Heraklion: Anna Petkovic vs Tina Nadine Smith
opposite sides · consensus Anna Petkovic
—Anna Petkovic $601—Tina Nadine Smith $641
Monastir: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
—Eliakim Coulibaly $85—Luka Mikrut $62
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
—Aryna Sabalenka $984—Aryna Sabalenka $3.6K