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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8e83fae02e603cc2860638315f1c161fde5ab22fBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)55% (106–86, n=192)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL$25K$8.4M$1.4M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #848PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (30 of 34 open)63% (100 of 159 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicTennis −14 pts, n=25—NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won35% of 57 at avg 46¢, ROI −4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 13% of 15)10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 38% of 8)36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 37% of 30)35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 4)20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8e83fae02e603cc2860638315f1c161fde5ab22fBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $15KBills $77—