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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (521–466, n=987) | no settled market | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$292K | — | $9.4M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #477 | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 62% (133 of 216 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −1 pts, n=402 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 1078 at avg 51¢, ROI −3% | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 20% of 30) | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 44% (won 47% of 478) | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 56% of 493) | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 74% of 77) | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $29K | Pelicans $136 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $17K | Pelicans $130 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Jazz $283 | Pelicans $154 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | — | Grizzlies $343 | Grizzlies $118 |