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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x776f7fb93be970D678068E00674B54af0FF10478-1771711639781BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)16% (6–31, n=37)45% (576–717, n=1293)35% (3667–6666, n=10333)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$113K$7.3M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #951PM monthly #3PM monthly #127PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)88% (22 of 25 open)78% (21 of 27 open)51% (32 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won37% of 19 at avg 24¢, ROI +32%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢74% (won 14% of 14)10% (won 82% of 60)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 98% of 204)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 100% of 202)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x776f7fb93be970D678068E00674B54af0FF10478-1771711639781BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
——Francesco Maestrelli $8.5KCarlo Alberto Caniato $297
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
——Aidan Mayo $6.2KMax Hans Rehberg $36
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
——Leyre Romero Gormaz $4.1KJulia Riera $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.6K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $1.9KHornets $116
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $700Under $144
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Taylor Fritz $3.4KTaylor Fritz $1.4K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
——Zsombor Piros $3Zsombor Piros $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $1.4KCavaliers $108