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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aEjoseph00677ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)49% (92–96, n=188)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (988–572, n=1560)50% (1106–1119, n=2225)
Consensus PnL$43K$5.3M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #945PM monthly #2PM monthly #104PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)no open consensus position76% (100 of 132 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won51% of 180 at avg 42¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢44% (won 10% of 79)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 55% of 22)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 80% of 35)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 98% of 44)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aEjoseph00677ndb1primm
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $53—Yes $1.0M—