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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lucianow34 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (626–480, n=1106) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | $8.4M | $1.4M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #857 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 64% (103 of 161 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −4 pts, n=26 | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1039 at avg 53¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 24% of 55) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 44% of 351) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 69% of 508) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 86% of 125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lucianow34 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $425K | — | No $350K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | — | Yes $12K |
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $15K | Bills $77 | — |