Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5c035d...7a31bbBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)81% (629–146, n=775)41% (589–853, n=1442)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL-$109K$7.6M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #801PM monthly #2PM monthly #98PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)88% (35 of 40 open)74% (112 of 152 open)55% (33 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +45 pts n=11, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=370, ROI +3%
  • Esports +2 pts n=30, ROI 0%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 463 at avg 88¢, ROI +4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 5)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 98% of 41)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up79% (won 100% of 366)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5c035d...7a31bbBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $115Yes $97
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409KNo $337K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $292KYes $11K—