← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Malfunction. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 98% (11659–287, n=11946) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $6.1M | $11.0M | $624K |
| Tracked as | — | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #316 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (49 of 68 open) | 100% (8 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 96% of 10966 at avg 96¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 2% (won 19% of 225) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 50% of 204) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 2% (won 58% of 170) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 95% (won 99% of 10367) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Malfunction. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $187K | Yes $34K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $77K | No $60K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $70 | No $25K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | — | — | No $327K | No $22K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $287K | Yes $50K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $42K | No $34K |