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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241a17367162806beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market98% (282–6, n=288)no settled market47% (12761–14165, n=26926)
Consensus PnL—-$150K—$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #396—PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position65% (60 of 92 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 240 at avg 52¢, ROI +30%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)1% (won 100% of 3)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)45% (won 98% of 107)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 100% of 117)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 13)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.