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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Multicoloured-SerfprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (271–305, n=576)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL—-$154K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #28PM monthly #47PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (9 of 16 open)80% (4 of 5 open)57% (30 of 53 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—47% (won 100% of 100)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—47% (won 100% of 101)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 13)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Multicoloured-SerfprimmRN1
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $15K—Warriors $510
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $3.8K—Suns $1.7K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $303James Madison $1.6K—
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $12—Suns $1.1K
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $122—Warriors $108
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $4.0K—Southern Miss $832
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $727—Under $245
Predators vs. Avalanche
same side · consensus Avalanche
—Predators $59—Predators $118