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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankpeasantRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (546–663, n=1209)no settled market47% (12984–14433, n=27417)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M—$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #537PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (34 of 51 open)71% (5 of 7 open)43% (13 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——Politics −6 pts, n=50—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%58% of 250 at avg 57¢, ROI +6%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)22% (won 11% of 54)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)17% (won 38% of 42)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)21% (won 60% of 52)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)41% (won 90% of 102)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankpeasantRN1
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $378KYes $16K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $241KYes $51K—